ANALYSIS OF THE STRATEGY TO REDUCE TOBACCO CONSUMPTION THROUGH RISING PRICES IN BRAZIL UNDER ECONOMIC THEORY VIEW:

ESTIMATION AND IMPLICATIONS

Authors

  • Matheus Lazzari Nicola Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná
  • Mario Antonio Margarido Pesquisador científico nível vi do Instituto de Economia Agrícola
  • Pery Francisco Assis Shikida Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná - UNIOESTE

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.38116/ppp55art10

Keywords:

Laffer curve, tobacco control policy, illegal cigarette market

Abstract

This paper discusses an alternative strategy for a tobacco control policy in Brazil, since tobacco consumption, for some time, does not generate only health problems. The objective of this paper was approved for the debate on a tax revenue generated from the production of tobacco products to compensate for its negative externalities, estimating a Laffer Curve for this market. The results suggest that an optimal IPI rate is 32.45%, however, it has been observed that a real IPI rate between 2012 and 2015 was always close to the estimated optimum aliquot. Thus, focus on the requirement of minimum retail price for cigarettes in the country, simulating the behavior of the market due to the elimination of the strategy. With this static-comparative simulation, it was found
that cigarette industry revenues increased by 45.14% and the total IPI collected would increase
by 44.86%; furthermore, no scenario ideal, the burden of IPI should be redistributed to That the real IPI rate remains close to the estimated optimum rate and enables a product for the domestic industry capable of competing with the illegal product. It was concluded that the elimination
of the pricing strategy is drastically affected the profitability of the illegal cigarette industry, transferring resources to the state from its ability to soften as negative externalities generated by cigarette consumption, as well as transferring resources to the national legal industry Respecting environmental, health and labor standards in the country.

Author Biographies

Matheus Lazzari Nicola, Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná

Mestrando do Programa de Pós Graduação de Desenvolvimento Regional e Agronegócios - UNIOESTE Toledo

Mario Antonio Margarido, Pesquisador científico nível vi do Instituto de Economia Agrícola

Possui graduação em Economia pela Universidade de São Paulo (1984), mestrado em Economia de Empresas pela Fundação Getulio Vargas - SP (1992) e doutorado em Economia pela Universidade de São Paulo (1999). Atualmente é pesquisador científico nível vi do Instituto de Economia Agrícola. Tem experiência na área de Economia, com ênfase em Métodos e Modelos Matemáticos, Econométricos e Estatísticos, atuando principalmente nos seguintes temas: co-integração, comércio internacional, soja, transmissão de preços e preços.

 

Pery Francisco Assis Shikida, Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná - UNIOESTE

Pós-doutor em Economia pela Fundação Getúlio Vargas/SP (2009). Professor Associado da Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná (Unioeste), atuando no Curso de Economia, Programa de Mestrado em Economia e no Programa de Mestrado e Doutorado em Desenvolvimento Regional e Agronegócio.

Published

2021-11-27

How to Cite

Nicola, M. L., Margarido, M. A., & Shikida, P. F. A. (2021). ANALYSIS OF THE STRATEGY TO REDUCE TOBACCO CONSUMPTION THROUGH RISING PRICES IN BRAZIL UNDER ECONOMIC THEORY VIEW:: ESTIMATION AND IMPLICATIONS. Planejamento E Políticas Públicas, (55). https://doi.org/10.38116/ppp55art10

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